tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1543 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1543 · SAN → ORD

departs 11:50 AM PT · arrives 5:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.