Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1681 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 1681 · LAX → DFW

departs 12:31 PM PT · arrives 5:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±4 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.20 in

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1681 · LAX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?