Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1981SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1981 · AUS → PHX
departs 2:31 PM CT · arrives 4:21 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.