Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2198 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

AA 2198 · ONT → DFW

departs 12:40 PM PT · arrives 5:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

DFW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2198 · ONT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?