tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2636 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2636 · SJD → ORD

departs 1:40 PM MST · arrives 6:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
47% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    25%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.