tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3013 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3013 · LAX → PHL

departs 12:06 PM PT · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.