Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 366 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 366 · LGA → DFW

departs 2:58 PM ET · arrives 5:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±11 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.39 in

DFW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 366 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?