Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 58 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:34 PM HT, ETA 11:29 PM PT)

Friday, November 13 Today

AA 58 · KOA → LAX

took off 4:34 PM HT · expected to land 11:29 PM PT (scheduled 4:31 PM HT → 12:08 AM PT)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ KOA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KOA

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 58 · KOA → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?