Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 765 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 765 · DFW → ELP

departs 2:38 PM CT · arrives 3:34 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±10 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 765 · DFW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?