Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 809SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 809 · SJD → PHX
departs 1:10 PM MST · arrives 3:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
29%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.