AS 7015 · ANC → BRW

took off 7:15 AM AKT · landed 8:50 AM AKT (scheduled 5:37 AM AKT → 7:37 AM AKT)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at BRW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BRW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.233333 mi forecast at BRW that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BRW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling967 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7015 · ANC → BRW

Odds over time

How late did it get to BRW?