AS 803 · LAX → HNL

departs 10:05 AM PT · arrives 1:58 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

HNL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 803 · LAX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?