DL 1075 · RDU → BOS

departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 6:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts −33 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from RDU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1075 · RDU → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?