DL 1077 · AUS → SFO

departs 3:21 PM CT · arrives 5:04 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
34%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
25%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SFO that day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.71 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1077 · AUS → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?