Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1566
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
DL 1566 · PHX → DTW
departs 11:04 PM MT · arrives 4:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 22%
Mon 11/16 14%
Wed 11/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.