Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
DL 1612 · DTW → AUS
departs 3:57 PM ET · arrives 6:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 15%
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 19%
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.