DL 1697 · PHX → BOS

departs 2:18 PM MT · arrives 9:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±1 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ 2pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ PHX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

BOS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1697 · PHX → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?