DL 1840 · ROC → DTW

departs 6:08 AM ET · arrives 7:27 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↑ Other factors

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1840 · ROC → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?