Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1900
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
DL 1900 · SAN → DTW
departs 1:28 PM PT · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 24%
Tue 11/17 22%
Wed 11/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SAN that day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,467 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.