DL 1927 · SFO → DTW

departs 1:30 PM PT · arrives 9:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±15 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SFO that day

↑ 1pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.71 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1927 · SFO → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?