Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
DL 2047 · ATL → ROC
departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 5:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ROC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.66667 mi forecast at ROC that day
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ROC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ROC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 1.66667 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.