DL 2124 · DTW → SAT

departs 1:43 PM ET · arrives 3:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SAT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2124 · DTW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?