Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
DL 2358 · DTW → ORD
departs 3:56 PM ET · arrives 4:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 37%
Wed 11/18 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.