Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2398
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
DL 2398 · ATL → JFK
departs 10:41 PM ET · arrives 12:51 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 11/12 58%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 26%
Tue 11/17 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at JFK that day
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.