DL 3236 · LAS → AUS

departs 10:39 AM PT · arrives 3:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at LAS that day

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

AUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3236 · LAS → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?