Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 624 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

DL 624 · MEX → JFK

departs 3:16 PM CST · arrives 8:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MEX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 624 · MEX → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?