Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 836 SCHEDULED

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

DL 836 · ATL → PHX

departs 5:59 PM ET · arrives 7:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 836 · ATL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?