Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8920
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
DL 8920 · EWR → ATL
departs 3:01 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at EWR that day
↑
EWR is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.63 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.