G7 4187 · EWR → CHA

departs 3:38 PM ET · arrives 5:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.26 in

CHA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4187 · EWR → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?