G7 4489 · AVL → EWR

departs 5:18 PM ET · arrives 7:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at AVL that day

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4489 · AVL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?