Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 404 LANDED 7:26 AM MT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, November 13 Today

KG 404 · DEN → RIL

took off 6:47 AM MT · landed 7:26 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RIL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DEN are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 404 · DEN → RIL

Odds over time