Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 3002 · BOI → STS
departs 6:43 PM MT · arrives 7:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 18%
Mon 11/16 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at STS that day
↑
6pm departures from BOI are often late
↓
BOI usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into STS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
STS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.