OO 3060 · SAN → DEN

departs 8:17 PM PT · arrives 11:44 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.32 in

DEN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3060 · SAN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?