Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3078
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 3078 · LAX → MFR
departs 9:30 PM PT · arrives 11:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 22%
Tue 11/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MFR that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Arrivals into MFR at that hour are usually not late
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.26 in
MFR (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.