Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3855
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 3855 · SEA → EUG
departs 9:37 PM PT · arrives 10:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 14%
Sun 11/15 16%
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 15%
Wed 11/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at EUG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EUG?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at EUG that day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
EUG usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.06 in
EUG (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 2,900 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.