Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 3929 · LAX → RNO
departs 9:59 PM PT · arrives 11:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 11/12 16%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±16 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RNO that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,867 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.26 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.