Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 4017 · SEA → PSC
departs 10:45 PM PT · arrives 11:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 22%
Sun 11/15 23%
Mon 11/16 24%
Tue 11/17 22%
Wed 11/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at PSC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at PSC that day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.06 in
PSC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.