Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 4652 · ABQ → SFO
departs 7:16 PM MT · arrives 8:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
84%
chance · ±15 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
84%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
20%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
84%
Yes 84%
No 16%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
29%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.