Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 4695 · SFO → ACV
departs 8:57 PM PT · arrives 10:18 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Fri 11/13
Mon 11/16 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
53%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at ACV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to ACV?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ACV that day
↑
8pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.71 in
ACV (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.