Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5446
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 5446 · SFO → SBP
departs 9:04 PM PT · arrives 10:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±10 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SBP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SBP?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SBP that day
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
9pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
SBP is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.71 in
SBP (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.