Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5545
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 5545 · SFO → SBA
departs 10:40 PM PT · arrives 12:04 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 29%
Wed 11/18 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±9 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at SBA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SBA that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.71 in
SBA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.