Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 5612 · LAS → LAX
departs 6:48 PM PT · arrives 8:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 25%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 49%
Mon 11/16 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±20 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 9,667 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 2,900 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.