Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5626
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 5626 · LAX → FAT
departs 10:42 PM PT · arrives 12:09 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 25%
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
Arrivals into FAT at that hour are often late
↑
10pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.44 in
FAT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.