Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 5883 · MFR → SFO
departs 7:42 PM PT · arrives 9:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±8 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
62%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
32%
Over 2 hours late
26%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
MFR usually runs smoothly
↓
7pm departures from MFR are usually not late
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.38 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.71 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.