Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5903
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 5903 · SFO → SEA
departs 10:37 PM PT · arrives 12:56 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 11/13
Mon 11/16 37%
Tue 11/17 34%
Wed 11/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±10 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −29 pts in 24h
−29 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
10pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.58 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.