Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 6044 · SFO → MFR
departs 8:46 PM PT · arrives 10:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 43%
Mon 11/16 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −23 pts in 24h
−23 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
8pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into MFR at that hour are usually not late
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.61 in
MFR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.