Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6227
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
OO 6227 · ORD → FSD
departs 10:39 PM CT · arrives 12:23 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15 41%
Mon 11/16 28%
Tue 11/17 29%
Wed 11/18 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into FSD at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ORD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.