OO 6354 · SGU → PHX

departs 6:05 PM MT · arrives 7:28 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±5 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ 6pm departures from SGU are usually not late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SGU (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

PHX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6354 · SGU → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?