Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1102 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 1102 · EWR → DFW

departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±7 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ 5pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.39 in

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1102 · EWR → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?