Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 124 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

UA 124 · EWR → ATH

departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 10:00 AM EET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at ATH more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATH?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ 5pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATH

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.40 in

ATH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 124 · EWR → ATH

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATH?